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Bayesian modelling of skewness and kurtosis with Two-Piece Scale and shape distributions

机译:贝叶斯偏度和峰度的两部分比例和形状分布建模

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摘要

We formalise and generalise the definition of the family of univariate double two–piece distributions, obtained by using a density–based transformation of unimodal symmetric continuous distributions with a shape parameter. The resulting distributions contain five interpretable parameters that control the mode, as well as the scale and shape in each direction. Four-parameter subfamilies of this class of distributions that capture different types of asymmetry are discussed. We propose interpretable scale and location-invariant benchmark priors and derive conditions for the propriety of the corresponding posterior distribution. The prior structures used allow for meaningful comparisons through Bayes factors within flexible families of distributions. These distributions are applied to data from finance, internet traffic and medicine, comparing them with appropriate competitors.
机译:我们对单变量双两件式分布族的定义进行形式化和一般化,这是通过使用具有形状参数的基于密度的单峰对称连续分布的变换来获得的。结果分布包含五个可解释的参数,这些参数控制模式以及每个方向上的比例和形状。讨论了这类分布的四参数子族,它们捕获了不同类型的不对称性。我们提出了可解释的规模和位置不变的基准先验,并推导了相应后验分布适当性的条件。所使用的现有结构允许通过弹性分布族内的贝叶斯因子进行有意义的比较。这些分布应用于来自金融,互联网流量和医学的数据,并将其与适当的竞争对手进行比较。

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